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Stocks Sink on Anxiety About Tech and A.I. Spending

Oil Prices Rise to Highest Level in a Month as Shipping in the Persian Gu...

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[학술논문 2023] 저자: Manuel Monge, M. F. Romero, Luis A. Gil-Alaña | 인용수: 88 | 초록: The impact of geopolitical risk on energy markets has drawn attention to the need for better statistical modeling, especially of the crude oil markets and the shipping industry. In this work, the West Texas Intermediate crude oil price and the Baltic Dry Index behavior under the assumption of geopolitical risks are examined by using monthly data from January 1985 until May 2021. Using fractional integration methods, th

[학술논문 2021] 저자: Bing Xu, Rong Fu, Chi Keung Marco Lau | 인용수: 38 | 초록: Our paper proposes a novel measure of global energy market uncertainty and studies its impact on oil prices. The current literature primarily relies on a single or small number of observable variables, or general macroeconomic uncertainty (JLN) and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices to reflect energy market uncertainty. Using a Factor Augmented Vector Autoregression model (FAVAR), we construct time-varying global energy

[학술논문 2023] 저자: Abhishek Kumar, Sushanta Mallick | 인용수: 59 | 초록: Drivers of real oil prices have been explored extensively in the literature with little consensus. Using a new identification scheme based on forecast error variance, we identify oil-specific demand, demand, and oil supply shocks that maximize the sum of forecast error variance of three variables explained by their respective shocks. The estimation, with the sample period until 2007, suggests that the three identified shocks have s